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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it.  Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake. "  Ozzie Paez

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    Can damaging biases affect AI? Yes!
    Ozzie Paez
    • Nov 5, 2020
    • 2 min

    Can damaging biases affect AI? Yes!

    Many believe that artificial intelligence and smart technologies will eliminate their damaging influences, but experience and research sugge
    6 views0 comments
    Availability heuristic and decisions on thin ice
    Ozzie Paez
    • Oct 5, 2020
    • 3 min

    Availability heuristic and decisions on thin ice

    THIS POST was first published in April 2012. It follows my previous post on heuristics and decision-making. It has been updated to inclu...
    0 views0 comments
    Blinded by coincidence (i.e. sometimes s#!t happens)
    Ozzie Paez
    • Sep 28, 2020
    • 3 min

    Blinded by coincidence (i.e. sometimes s#!t happens)

    THIS POST was first published in June 2012. It's been updated to include new lessons and research in the science and craft of decision-ma...
    1 view0 comments
    Surviving the COVID economy
    Ozzie Paez
    • May 21, 2020
    • 2 min

    Surviving the COVID economy

    I counted more than ten failed businesses during a recent walk. There were many others whose operations were visibly unprofitable...
    8 views0 comments
    Riding bad data to lousy decisions
    Ozzie Paez
    • Mar 10, 2020
    • 1 min

    Riding bad data to lousy decisions

    ...we often lend automatic credibility to information and decisions based on data. It’s reasonable in many instances, but not always.
    0 views0 comments
    Soleimani's lost utility-A lesson
    Ozzie Paez
    • Jan 4, 2020
    • 1 min

    Soleimani's lost utility-A lesson

    There is an important lesson for strategists and political, military, and business leaders in the killing of General Soleimani...
    17 views0 comments
    Imagineering at Tiffins
    Ozzie Paez
    • Jan 8, 2019
    • 2 min

    Imagineering at Tiffins

    I dined at Tiffins restaurant with my daughter and a school friend on our last evening at Disney’s Animal Kingdom. Allan, our culinary gu...
    13 views0 comments
    Hindsight: tripping over the past on our way to the future
    Ozzie Paez
    • Jun 6, 2018
    • 3 min

    Hindsight: tripping over the past on our way to the future

    Hindsight bias is one of the most seductive, influential and damaging cognitive traps. Research suggests that we’re susceptible to judgin...
    20 views0 comments
    Biases and the dangers of feeling certain
    Ozzie Paez
    • Jun 5, 2018
    • 2 min

    Biases and the dangers of feeling certain

    Strong beliefs can undermine our ability to analyze facts and make informed decisions. They promote biases that compromise our ability t...
    6 views0 comments
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