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Nov 18, 2020
4 min

Decision-making’s crucial 3rd leg

In his book, Thinking Fast and Slow, Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman describes two systems that drive our thinking and decision-making. Sy...

8 views0 comments

Blinded by coincidence (i.e. sometimes s#!t happens)

Ozzie Paez

Sep 28, 2020
3 min

Blinded by coincidence (i.e. sometimes s#!t happens)

THIS POST was first published in June 2012. It's been updated to include new lessons and research in the science and craft of decision-ma...

1 view0 comments

Seeing ≠ Believing: the vision-perception disconnect

Ozzie Paez

Sep 25, 2020
3 min

Seeing ≠ Believing: the vision-perception disconnect

THIS POST was first published in July 2012. It's been updated to include new lessons learned from growing deployments of smart technologi...

0 views0 comments

Ozzie Paez

Jan 4, 2020
1 min

Soleimani's lost utility-A lesson

There is an important lesson for strategists and political, military, and business leaders in the killing of General Soleimani...

17 views0 comments

Hindsight: tripping over the past on our way to the future

Ozzie Paez

Jun 6, 2018
3 min

Hindsight: tripping over the past on our way to the future

Hindsight bias is one of the most seductive, influential and damaging cognitive traps. Research suggests that we’re susceptible to judgin...

20 views0 comments

Biases and the dangers of feeling certain

Ozzie Paez

Jun 5, 2018
2 min

Biases and the dangers of feeling certain

Strong beliefs can undermine our ability to analyze facts and make informed decisions. They promote biases that compromise our ability t...

6 views0 comments

Ozzie Paez, Dean Macris

May 1, 2018
6 min

Automation and the unaware caretakers

We are increasingly relying on technology to automate tasks and make decisions. Artificial Intelligence (AI), analytics and machine learning

37 views0 comments

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