Ozzie Paez
The informed decision-maker fallacy
A common and dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers predictably make better, more objective decisions. It’s...
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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it. Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake."
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Ozzie Paez
- Dec 8, 2022
- 2 min
Exceptional Transformation
Coping with disruptive technological innovations is a daunting challenge for established businesses and institutions. Disruptions...
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Ozzie Paez
- Mar 22, 2022
- 2 min
The dangers of nuclear bluffing
The last time the world faced a dangerous nuclear crisis like the war in Ukraine was during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. There had been...
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Ozzie Paez
- Mar 16, 2022
- 2 min
Putin & the Laws of Human Stupidity
Analysts prefer objective measures to subjective qualitative factors. Numbers simplify analysis and allow the application of quantifiable...
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Ozzie Paez
- Mar 8, 2022
- 2 min
Proliferation & Putin's Ukraine crisis
Threatening crises promote tunnel visions as those affected focus on their immediate effects. It’s only later, after normalcy returns,...
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Ozzie Paez
- Jan 29, 2022
- 2 min
Quantifying health and healthcare
The heart of digital transformation is quantification or more specifically the capacity to continuously measure (sample) processes,...
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Ozzie Paez
- Jul 23, 2021
- 1 min
Healthcare lessons beyond healthcare
Healthcare systems need to look beyond healthcare for lessons and solutions to meet the current and future crisis.
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Ozzie Paez
- Jul 22, 2021
- 2 min
Operational Elasticity
The COVID crisis tested healthcare’s robustness (the capacity to take a punch) and agility (the ability to adapt). Many hospitals...
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Ozzie Paez
- Jul 19, 2021
- 6 min
Saving lives in future emergencies
I authored this story several years ago based on 20+ years evaluating innovative health technologies, with input from health tech leaders...
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Ozzie Paez
- May 21, 2021
- 1 min
Preparedness and healthcare specs
I’ve spent much of my career helping clients define their needs, expectations, and #requirements in the face of continuous technological...
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Ozzie Paez
- May 20, 2021
- 1 min
Research: Tech and catastrophes
Healthcare, Public Health, and Emergency Services endured unprecedented challenges coping with #covid19. The pandemic’s impacts on the...
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Ozzie Paez
- May 6, 2021
- 1 min
Coping with mass casualty events
Previous posts in this series dealt with lessons learned after a mass casualty event – 9/11. This one focuses on mounting disasters that...
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Ozzie Paez
- Nov 18, 2020
- 4 min
Decision-making’s crucial 3rd leg
In his book, Thinking Fast and Slow, Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman describes two systems that drive our thinking and decision-making....
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Ozzie Paez
- Sep 28, 2020
- 3 min
Blinded by coincidence (i.e. sometimes s#!t happens)
THIS POST was first published in June 2012. It's been updated to include new lessons and research in the science and craft of...
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Ozzie Paez
- Jul 21, 2020
- 1 min
Prepare for 2021
Sometimes conditions beyond their control leave business leaders with few good choices...
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Ozzie Paez
- Jul 1, 2020
- 1 min
Restarting the economy: a long process
There are clear disconnects between politics, business, and the realities of reopening the economy.
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Ozzie Paez
- Jun 27, 2020
- 1 min
Benchmarks and uncertainty
he COVID-19 crisis has been exasperating for many of us in part because of contradictory explanations from experts and news sources...
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Ozzie Paez
- Apr 16, 2020
- 1 min
Business model uncertainties
Business models define their business’ rationale and operational logic. They encompass the processes and functions that transform inputs int
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Ozzie Paez
- Apr 14, 2020
- 1 min
Clarifying uncertainties
This post offers insights for identifying and contextually clarifying post-lockdown economic, strategic, and operational uncertainties.
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Ozzie Paez
- Feb 14, 2020
- 1 min
The human toll of unemployment
We are now hearing from officials and the media that, if/when Corona spreads in the US, cities may have to essentially shut down...
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