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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it.  Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake." 

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    What are business disruptions?
    Ozzie Paez
    • Dec 5, 2019
    • 3 min

    What are business disruptions?

    The term ‘disruption’ has become a bucket word holding many imprecise concepts and definitions. That’s unfortunate because the fate of many established businesses (incumbents) will depend on their ability to identify, cope with, and exploit disruptive changes. Compounding these challenges is the accelerating pace of technological progress, which guarantees increasing disruptions across markets in the years ahead. Characteristics of disruptions Incumbents continue to face si
    32 views0 comments
    Disruptions, decisions, and leadership
    Ozzie Paez
    • Nov 13, 2019
    • 2 min

    Disruptions, decisions, and leadership

    Change is a constant in business, but not all changes are created equal. Executives and senior managers are usually most concerned about disruptive changes. They speak of difficulties identifying emerging disruptions and the risks of waiting too long to respond. It’s not surprising because, while disruptions are easy to see in hindsight, they’re difficult to identify prospectively. Predicting and respondign to emerging disruptions demands good judgment, courage, and leadershi
    12 views0 comments
    Innovations, disruptions, business and war
    Ozzie Paez
    • Aug 29, 2019
    • 3 min

    Innovations, disruptions, business and war

    Innovative technologies possess disruptive capacity but are rarely disruptive on their own. Disruptions occur at the intersection of technological innovations, strategy, and business models. The challenge has been to accurately predict and recognize their disruptive potential. It’s no easy feat. Technological innovations often disrupt some businesses and business models, while marginally affecting others. Some are disruptive from the moment they are introduced, while oth
    13 views0 comments
    Should AI worry or excite CEOs?  Yes!
    Ozzie Paez
    • Oct 18, 2018
    • 3 min

    Should AI worry or excite CEOs? Yes!

    According to a recent survey, a majority of Fortune 500 CEOs see Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a big challenge[i]. Their feelings are spot on because smart technologies, including AI, are already disrupting markets, and rendering many competitive strategies and business models obsolete. Fortunately, emerging opportunities are staggering for those prepared to exploit them. AI and related technologies are projected to add $10-$15 trillion in GDP by 2030. So – Why are CEOs
    39 views0 comments
    Competitive strategy, digital strategy and transformation
    Ozzie Paez
    • May 3, 2018
    • 4 min

    Competitive strategy, digital strategy and transformation

    Technological innovations and disruptions are recurring. Evidence suggest that the pace of change continues to increase . Sustaining compe
    19 views0 comments
    Perspectives on Strategy and Business Models
    Ozzie Paez
    • Apr 13, 2018
    • 3 min

    Perspectives on Strategy and Business Models

    The terms Strategy and Business Model are used so frequently in business writing that they suggest widespread definitional agreement. The opposite is true[1],[2]. The focus and structure of strategy have changed since the 1960s, when Bruce Henderson’s Experience Curve positioned companies based on costs relative to competitors. Business Models have also changed in scope and structure since their heyday in the 1990s. The rise of the personal computer, networks, databases a
    55 views0 comments
    Giving strategy its due in the digital age
    Ozzie Paez
    • Apr 2, 2018
    • 2 min

    Giving strategy its due in the digital age

    Disruptive technological innovations usually affect business models before companies appreciate their strategy implications. Innovative technologies can lower costs, improve quality, change value propositions and change customer preferences. Companies in affected industries generally respond by upgrading their systems and processes. Market pressures and operational considerations drive these changes, with limited strategic guidance. Analysts often miss this important point an
    20 views0 comments
    The 4th Industrial Revolution
    Ozzie Paez
    • Jan 18, 2018
    • 3 min

    The 4th Industrial Revolution

    A Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR), aka Business 4.0, is upon us, although most people, governments and businesses have yet to fully connect the dots. That’s because we are still looking back at the ‘old Internet,’ whose primary impacts centered on the creation, transmission and sharing of vast quantities of information. Many of the most innovative Internet centered companies don’t manufacture, store or transfer physical things. Digital platforms, for example, make it p
    34 views0 comments
    Competing in the Internet-of-Things
    Ozzie Paez
    • Nov 8, 2017
    • 2 min

    Competing in the Internet-of-Things

    The Internet-of-Things, the environment emerging from billions of interconnected devices, has been growing quickly and is set to explode over the next two years. Interestingly, for most people and organizations, its emergence has been hidden in plain sight. It will not stay that way for long. The number of interconnected IoT sensors, devices, equipment and systems is estimated to reach between seventy-five and two-hundred BILLION by 2020. The implications for established b
    28 views0 comments
    The business implications of the Internet-of-Things (IoT)
    Ozzie Paez
    • Oct 7, 2017
    • 3 min

    The business implications of the Internet-of-Things (IoT)

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s (MIT) decision to offer a short course on the business implications of the Internet-of-Things (IoT) reflects the growing importance of the IoT for corporations large and small. I've been studying it in detail for over three years, focusing on its potential impacts on business, government and other institutions. During this period, the IoT has been for most businesses a growing phenomenon hidden in plain sight. It remains largely misun
    70 views0 comments

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