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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it. Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake."
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Business model uncertainties
Business models define their business’ rationale and operational logic. They encompass the processes and functions that transform inputs int

Ozzie Paez
Apr 16, 20201 min read


Clarifying uncertainties
This post offers insights for identifying and contextually clarifying post-lockdown economic, strategic, and operational uncertainties.

Ozzie Paez
Apr 14, 20201 min read


Our duty
Business leaders and investors know how to quantify and price risks; uncertainties are another matter. Unlike risks, which drive decisions a

Ozzie Paez
Apr 7, 20201 min read


Riding bad data to lousy decisions
...we often lend automatic credibility to information and decisions based on data. It’s reasonable in many instances, but not always.

Ozzie Paez
Mar 9, 20201 min read


Shortcomings in our response to Corona
Does it make sense to deal with this bug through policies that will drive the world-economy to an also deadly economic recession?...

Ozzie Paez
Mar 6, 20201 min read


The business of life must go on
Coronavirus has captured our attention. The best antidote to fear is good information...

Ozzie Paez
Feb 27, 20201 min read


Why can't we get along?
I’m frequently asked about the implications of mergers and acquisitions. The issue came up again after Fort Collins’ Woodward, Inc. announc

Ozzie Paez
Feb 6, 20205 min read


What are business disruptions?
The term ‘disruption’ has become a bucket word holding many imprecise concepts and definitions. That’s unfortunate because the fate of...

Ozzie Paez
Dec 4, 20193 min read


Disruptions, decisions, and leadership
Change is a constant in business, but not all changes are created equal. Executives and senior managers are usually most concerned about...

Ozzie Paez
Nov 13, 20192 min read


Walmart, Guns and Disruptions
Disruptions can make or break organizations and their leaders. If you lead or hope to lead in a competitive environment, then coping...

Ozzie Paez
Sep 17, 20193 min read


Innovations, disruptions, business and war
Innovative technologies possess disruptive capacity but are rarely disruptive on their own. Disruptions occur at the intersection of...

Ozzie Paez
Aug 28, 20193 min read


US vs. Iran: A tale of two mindsets
President Trump’s frustrating efforts to engage with Iran’s leadership are understandable and explainable. The President’s negotiating...

Ozzie Paez
Jul 26, 20195 min read


Healthcare's changing landscape – Part I
It’s a foregone conclusion that healthcare will be dramatically different in ten years or less. All the pieces are in place for a broad...

Ozzie Paez
Apr 24, 20193 min read


AI, business strategy and venture capital
There are no shortage of misconceptions surrounding artificial intelligence (AI). Many established companies are struggling to...
Ozzie Paez, Shelley Lineham
Apr 8, 20194 min read


Artificial intelligence and stock markets
It’s impossible to miss the wild, record swings in the stock market. Scary things for investors accustomed to more sensible market...

Ozzie Paez
Jan 9, 20193 min read


Putting machine learning to work
Science fiction continues to undermine our general understanding of artificial intelligence. Even well-educated people frequently...

Ozzie Paez
Dec 20, 20183 min read


Should AI worry or excite CEOs? Yes!
According to a recent survey, a majority of Fortune 500 CEOs see Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a big challenge[i]. Their feelings are...

Ozzie Paez
Oct 18, 20183 min read


Strategy & sustainability at HBS
Harvard Business School’s (HBS) course on Sustainable Business Strategy is an important departure from its traditional focus on...

Ozzie Paez
Oct 4, 20183 min read


Making sense of artificial intelligence
When new technologies emerge, visionaries and early adopters often present expectations, assumptions and unproven hypotheses as facts. ...

Ozzie Paez
Sep 28, 20182 min read


Getting smart about Artificial Intelligence
One of my primary functions is helping our clients cope and thrive amid disruptive change. In this context, Artificial Intelligence (AI)...

Ozzie Paez
Aug 7, 20182 min read
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