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"The most dangerous decision-making fallacy is that informed decision-makers will naturally make better, more objective decisions. Making consistently timely, effective, informed decisions takes hard work. Trust me – it’s worth it. Effective decision-making is the essential common ingredient behind every successful step, initiative, and strategy that people, organizations, and national governments undertake."
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Prepare for 2021
Sometimes conditions beyond their control leave business leaders with few good choices...

Ozzie Paez
Jul 21, 20201 min read


Restarting the economy: a long process
There are clear disconnects between politics, business, and the realities of reopening the economy.

Ozzie Paez
Jul 1, 20201 min read


Safe and out of business is no business
...regaining and delivering sustainable profitability is your top concern. Safely, yes, but safe and out of business is no business at all.

Ozzie Paez
Jun 29, 20201 min read


Benchmarks and uncertainty
he COVID-19 crisis has been exasperating for many of us in part because of contradictory explanations from experts and news sources...

Ozzie Paez
Jun 26, 20201 min read


All in it together? Sort of...
Business is a contact sport. Entrepreneurs, executives, and consumers accept that in free markets there are always winners and losers.

Ozzie Paez
Jun 18, 20201 min read


Application notes: Starbucks
Starbucks’ (SB) success relies on a socially centered customer value proposition...

Ozzie Paez
May 1, 20201 min read


Applying OPR's recovery framework
This post discusses the OPR Framework’s application to social businesses, particularly restaurants...

Ozzie Paez
Apr 28, 20201 min read


Business model uncertainties
Business models define their business’ rationale and operational logic. They encompass the processes and functions that transform inputs int

Ozzie Paez
Apr 16, 20201 min read


Clarifying uncertainties
This post offers insights for identifying and contextually clarifying post-lockdown economic, strategic, and operational uncertainties.

Ozzie Paez
Apr 14, 20201 min read


Our duty
Business leaders and investors know how to quantify and price risks; uncertainties are another matter. Unlike risks, which drive decisions a

Ozzie Paez
Apr 7, 20201 min read


Alternative containment strategies
ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES for containing Coronavirus have emerged...

Ozzie Paez
Mar 19, 20201 min read


Assessing COVID-19 risks
To understand my odds and make good decisions, I needed representative data and context...

Ozzie Paez
Mar 17, 20201 min read


NYC best source of COVID data
he city and State are providing better data on Coronavirus than has been available from other trusted sources.

Ozzie Paez
Mar 13, 20201 min read


Riding bad data to lousy decisions
...we often lend automatic credibility to information and decisions based on data. It’s reasonable in many instances, but not always.

Ozzie Paez
Mar 9, 20201 min read


Shortcomings in our response to Corona
Does it make sense to deal with this bug through policies that will drive the world-economy to an also deadly economic recession?...

Ozzie Paez
Mar 6, 20201 min read


The business of life must go on
Coronavirus has captured our attention. The best antidote to fear is good information...

Ozzie Paez
Feb 27, 20201 min read


The human toll of unemployment
We are now hearing from officials and the media that, if/when Corona spreads in the US, cities may have to essentially shut down...

Ozzie Paez
Feb 13, 20201 min read


Why can't we get along?
I’m frequently asked about the implications of mergers and acquisitions. The issue came up again after Fort Collins’ Woodward, Inc. announc

Ozzie Paez
Feb 6, 20205 min read


Soleimani's lost utility-A lesson
There is an important lesson for strategists and political, military, and business leaders in the killing of General Soleimani...

Ozzie Paez
Jan 4, 20201 min read


What are business disruptions?
The term ‘disruption’ has become a bucket word holding many imprecise concepts and definitions. That’s unfortunate because the fate of...

Ozzie Paez
Dec 4, 20193 min read
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